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The Technical Indicator
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Current Issue

  • Apr 27, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Monday, rising ahead of the busiest week for quarterly earnings reports and as several U.S. states prepare to reopen their economies. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 is back for its second crack at major resistance (2,874), a key intermediate-term bull-bear inflection point.

Past Issues

  • Apr 24, 2020
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Friday, vacillating as market volatility continues to recede. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has asserted a jagged April range as it vies to maintain an increasingly familiar technical level. The S&P’s 50% retracement of the market crash (2,793) roughly bisects the range, and consecutive session lows have registered within one point.
  • Apr 23, 2020
    U.S. stocks are higher early Thursday, rising as the major benchmarks shrug off the latest batch of ugly economic data. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has ventured back atop its 50-day moving average, currently 2,819, as it vies for just its second close atop the trending indicator since the 2020 crash.
  • Apr 22, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Wednesday, rising after the latest batch of quarterly earnings reports, and amid optimism over the pending release of another small-business stimulus package. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has weathered a respectable two-session downdraft, while the Nasdaq Composite has reversed back atop its 200-day moving average early Wednesday, currently 8,409.
  • Apr 21, 2020
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks are back on the defensive, pressured amid plunging crude-oil prices and easing Treasury yields. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has balked at major resistance — spanning from about 2,855 to 2,874 — signaling a still bearish intermediate- to longer-term bias. The aggressiveness of the prevailing downturn will likely add color.
  • Apr 20, 2020
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Monday, vacillating against the backdrop of plunging crude-oil prices, currently pacing the biggest single-day drop on record. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 reclaimed major resistance (2,855) to conclude last week — a level closely matching the 50-day moving average — and its capacity to sustain the slight breakout will likely add color.
  • Apr 17, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Friday, rising amid optimism over guidance for reopening the U.S. economy. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has nailed its 50-day moving average, currently 2,862, a level roughly matching major resistance (2,855). This area marks a major bull-bear inflection point — initially detailed April 9 — and the weekly close will likely add color.
  • Apr 16, 2020
    U.S. stocks are mixed early Thursday, vacillating as the U.S., and some European countries, evaluate the process of reopening economies. Against this backdrop, the Nasdaq Composite has reclaimed its key 50- and 200-day moving averages — the 8,400 area — while the S&P 500 has maintained near-term support (2,760).
  • Apr 15, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Wednesday, pressured after an ugly batch of economic data underscored the markets’ pending fundamental headwinds. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has reversed sharply from major resistance (2,855), punctuating a failed initial retest.
  • Apr 14, 2020
    Technically speaking, the process of repairing extensive damage to the major U.S. benchmarks remains underway. Against this backdrop, the bigger-picture technicals have strengthened, amid a persistent April spike, though the rally attempt’s sustainability remains an open question.
  • Apr 13, 2020
    The major U.S. benchmarks are firmly lower early Monday, pressured in the wake of their best week since 1974. Against this backdrop, the downturn originates from the S&P 500’s next notable resistance (2,817). The selling pressure’s aggressiveness, or lack thereof, will likely add color.
  • Apr 9, 2020
    U.S. stocks are once again firmly higher early Thursday, rising after the Federal Reserve announced a massive $2.3 trillion lending program aimed at stemming the economic downturn. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its recovery attempt amid increasingly bullish April price action.
  • Apr 8, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Wednesday, rising amid optimism that the U.S. government is starting plans to eventually loosen restrictions on the economy. Against this backdrop, each big three U.S. benchmark has sustained an April technical breakout, preserving a surprisingly persistent recovery attempt.
  • Apr 7, 2020
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have extended a respectable rally attempt, rising in the wake of extensive damage. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has knifed within view of its next notable resistance (2,742) from a bullish island reversal to start the second quarter.
  • Apr 6, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Monday, rising amid optimism that the coronavirus may be nearing a peak. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has ventured back atop the 2,600 mark, rising sharply from a weekly close (2,488) slightly atop major support (2,478).
  • Apr 3, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Friday, pressured after a weaker-than-expected monthly jobs report. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has asserted a consolidation phase, of sorts, to start the second quarter, digesting a pullback from major resistance (2,650).
  • Apr 2, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Thursday, rising in sympathy with soaring crude oil prices amid optimism that Saudi Arabia and Russia may have agreed to a production cut. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has weathered Wednesday’s aggressive single-day downdraft — to start the second quarter — rising from a shaky, but thus far successful, test of major support (2,478).
  • Apr 1, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Wednesday, pressured to start the second quarter after an ugly batch of economic data. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has reversed from major resistance (2,650), while still thus far maintaining its first key support (2,478). The prevailing recovery attempt is intact, for now, amid still wide-ranging price action.
  • Mar 31, 2020
    Technically speaking, a bear-market rally attempt remains underway in the wake of an historic, and severely damaging, March downdraft. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has sustained the bulk of its gains, asserting a flag-like pattern amid still muted late-month selling pressure.
  • Mar 30, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Monday, rising amid a prolonged (but arguably fading) March volatility spike. Against this backdrop, each benchmark’s recovery attempt is intact, though the upturn has initially stalled near well-defined resistance.
  • Mar 27, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Friday, pressured in the wake of the biggest three-day market rally since 1933. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has topped slightly under its 200-week moving average (2,644) as it nonetheless vies to register a striking bullish reversal pattern, a key reversal, on the weekly chart.
  • Mar 26, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Thursday, building on the S&P 500’s first back-to-back daily gains in about six weeks. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended a respectable rally attempt, rising firmly atop its next notable resistance (2,478).
  • Mar 25, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly higher early Wednesday, building on the Dow industrials’ biggest single-day gain Tuesday since the 1930’s. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its rally atop major support (2,346), a move initially fueled by genuine internal strength for the first time this year.
  • Mar 24, 2020
    Technically speaking, the major U.S. benchmarks have reversed sharply from the March low, rising in the wake of an historic market downdraft. In the process, the S&P 500 has spiked Tuesday from major support (2,190) rising against a bigger-picture technical backdrop (including sentiment) that may be sufficient to support at least an intermediate-term market low.
  • Mar 23, 2020
    U.S. stocks are firmly lower early Monday, pressured as an historic March downdraft remains underway. Against this backdrop, the S&P 500 has extended its violation of major support (2,346) — reaching three-year lows — and dropping within striking distance of deeper technical inflection points.
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